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How to Conduct Research on Web3 Airdrop Projects in 2025

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The essence of investment research (投研) is strategic thinking and planning before action, focusing on optimizing decisions and resource allocation. The goal is to identify high-value projects while avoiding ineffective investments, especially in a complex information landscape. **Core Decision Dimensions:** 1. **Timing Control:** Early involvement in projects yields the highest efficiency. Missing the optimal entry point may necessitate strategic withdrawal to avoid sunk costs. - Examples: STRK Network and ZKBridge faced losses due to late entry. 2. **Capital Strength and Credibility:** Projects backed by major investors (like a16z/Binance Labs) or essential components of public chains (e.g., Solana's Jupiter) are prioritized for their market advantages. 3. **Market Trends:** Key trends include L2 expansion in 2023, DEX innovations in 2024, and new content mining paradigms in 2025, creating a positive feedback loop through wealth effects. 4. **Cost Assessment:** Focus on low-capital projects and avoid high-risk operations. Be wary of the trap where multiple small profits cannot offset a single major loss. **Industry Trends and Survival Strategies:** - The airdrop market is expected to decline in 2024, leading to fewer participants and a shift towards specialized operations. - Adapt strategies dynamically and acknowledge that the era of large-scale operations has ended. **Practical Tools:** - Axiom for real-time monitoring - Gmgn for on-chain analysis - Dbot for strategy optimization - Morelogin for environment isolation **Further Reading and Resources:** Guides on Binance Megadrop, industry insights, and high-frequency search topics related to cryptocurrency trading and operations.

First Understand the Essence of Investment Research: Decision Optimization and Resource Allocation#

Investment research is essentially strategic thinking and planning before action.
Plain interpretation: How to select high-value projects with limited energy and avoid ineffective investment.
Industry status analysis: The airdrop field has moved past the stage of barbaric growth; even if mentors share strategies comprehensively, ordinary people find it difficult to keep up. Especially in the era of content mining, the mix of true and false information exacerbates decision-making difficulties.

Core Decision Four-Dimensional Analysis#

1. Timing Control (Seizing First-Mover Advantage)#

Golden Rule: The highest efficiency is achieved by intervening in the early stages of project initiation; later remediation often yields diminishing returns.
Practical Experience: If the best entry window is missed, it is better to strategically give up to avoid sunk costs.

Typical Cases

  • STRK Network: Missed basic reward tier due to late entry by a few days.
  • ZKBridge: Intervened only after the Odyssey event ended, receiving only basic rewards.
  • Initia: Not participating in the first phase resulted in no output throughout.

2. Capital Strength and Credit Endorsement (Market Consensus Verification)#

Selection Criteria

  • Projects with tens of millions in financing (leading institutions include a16z/Binance Labs, etc.)
  • Core component projects of public chains (such as Solana's Jupiter, Sui's Walrus)

Value Logic
① Projects invested in by leading exchanges have a listing premium advantage.
② Key components of public chain ecosystems come with built-in traffic and resource tilt.

3. Track Prospects (Capturing Trend Dividends)#

Cycle Patterns

  • 2023: L2 scaling solutions
  • 2024: Wave of DEX innovations
  • 2025: New paradigm of content mining

Operational Mechanism: Attract market hot money and community participation by creating a wealth effect, forming a positive cycle.

4. Cost Accounting (Risk-Return Ratio Assessment)#

Preferred Strategies

  • Zero capital threshold projects: Time for space.
  • Avoid high-risk operations: Contract staking/mechanical check-ins.

Risk Control Warning: Beware of the trap that "nine profitable instances cannot offset one explosion."

Industry Trends and Survival Strategies#

Market Evolution

  • 2024: Overall decline in airdrop returns, sharp reduction in the number of practitioners.
  • 2025: Acceleration of professional transformation, focusing on targeted airdrops from exchanges and lightweight KOL models.

Survival Rules

  • Maintain dynamic adjustments: Timely verification of strategy effectiveness.
  • Accept reality: The era of large-scale matrix operation dividends has passed.

🛠️ Practical Tool Library#

1️⃣ Axiom Surfing Tool → Real-time Monitoring
2️⃣ Gmgn Data Engine → On-chain Analysis
3️⃣ Dbot Smart Assistant → Strategy Optimization
4️⃣ Morelogin Multi-Opening Solution → Environment Isolation

Extended Reading#

【Beginner's Guide】Binance Megadrop Full Process Guide
【Industry Truth】From Millions in Profit to Debt Rebirth in the Crypto World

High-Frequency Searches#

Bitcoin compliant purchase | Depin passive income | Taker mining strategy | Grass airdrop collection | Exchange registration guide
Contract trading risk control | Staking mining tutorial | Web3 zero-cost path | Inscription minting teaching | Node operation practice

(Content source: @Beijing Teacher Practical Methodology)

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